成“链”补“缺”:乡村研究领域的复杂系统研究动态及发展趋势

Forming ‘Chain’ and Filling ‘Deficiency’: The Development Trend of Complex System in Rural Research Field

  • 摘要: 乡村发展问题是复杂的系统性问题,实现乡村振兴需要系统整体、协调、可持续发展。文章首先运用文献计量方法解析国内外乡村“人地系统—社会生态系统—乡村系统治理”的系统研究演进脉络,发现CAS、SES等复杂系统理论在乡村系统研究中的关键作用;进而解析乡村复杂系统研究的前沿成果,总结既有研究存在“重微观、轻宏观”“重策略、轻实施”“重单一视角、轻城乡互动”的局限性,识别未来乡村系统研究的重点内容为系统风险识别与系统韧性治理,发展趋势为成“链”补“缺”:即基于复杂系统视角的乡村风险与韧性研究进一步融合,形成从系统风险识别到韧性治理的全过程研究链条;补足既有缺环,加强宏中观尺度的乡村系统研究、推动策略的空间落地实施、统筹城乡的系统风险防控与治理。

     

    Abstract: Rural development is a complex and systemic issue, and rural revitalization requires systematic, coordinated, and sustainable development. Firstly, the paper uses bibliometrics to analyze the evolution of systems research on ‘human and land systems-social ecological systems-rural system governance’ in rural areas at home and abroad based on Web of Science and CNKI database, and finds the key role of complex system theories such as CAS theory and SES theory in rural system research. Furthermore, it analyzes the frontier achievements of rural complex system research ‘disaster system prevention + livelihood system adaptation + landscape system protection + facility system construction + human and land system coordination’, and concludes that the existing research has limitations of ‘focusing on micro and belittle macro’, ‘focusing on strategy and belittle implementation’, ‘focusing on single perspective and belittle urban-rural interaction’. On one hand, studies on rural risk and resilience based on complex systems will be further integrated, forming a whole research chain from system risk identification to resilience management. On the other hand, it is necessary to make up for the lack of existing research, strengthen macro-scale rural system research, spatial implementation of system optimization strategies, and coordinate urban and rural systemic risk prevention and resilience management.

     

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