基于改进引力模型的滦河流域区县经济空间网络结构演变研究

Study on the Evolution of the Economic Spatial Network Structure of Districts and Counties in Luanhe River Basin Based on Improved Gravity Modeling

  • 摘要: 研究滦河流域区县经济空间网络特征对于精准提升滦河流域经济发展水平具有重要意义。本文以滦河流域40个区县为研究范围,引入流空间理论对引力模型进行改进,构建2000年、2010年、2020年滦河流域经济网络模型,运用社会网络分析法探究滦河流域内经济网络特征与时空演变规律。研究结果表明,近20年滦河流域经济发展重心逐渐由秦皇岛向唐山转移,强经济流主要分布在唐山市内部。经济网络密度呈上升趋势,但是流域整体较低;唐山市路北区、路南区的点度中心度、中间中心度、接近中心度均较高,说明其对外影响力与对内吸引力较好,不易受其他区县经济发展的影响。流域经济网络核心区逐渐扩大,呈现“下游强、上游弱”的特点。流域内部网络权力分布由不均衡向均衡发展,但仅有下游路北区、路南区位于核心权力区,对边缘权力区县的带动作用有限。

     

    Abstract: The study of economic network characteristics of districts and counties in the Luanhe River Basin is of great significance in accurately improving the level of economic development. This paper takes 40 districts and counties in the Luanhe River Basin as the research scope, introduces the flow space theory to improve the gravity model, constructs the economic network model of the Luanhe River Basin in 2000, 2010, and 2020, and uses the social network analysis method to explore the characteristics of the economic network and the spatial-temporal evolution law in the Luanhe River Basin. The results show that in the past 20 years, the center gravity of economic development has gradually shifted from Qinhuangdao to Tangshan, and the solid economic flows are mainly distributed within the city of Tangshan. The density of the economic network shows a rising trend, but the basin as a whole is low; the point degree of centrality, middle degree of centrality, and close degree of centrality of the Lubei District and Lunan District of Tangshan City are higher, indicating that their external influence and internal attraction are better, and are not easily affected by the economic development of other districts and counties. The core area of the basin's economic network is gradually expanding, showing the characteristics of 'strong downstream and weak upstream'. The power distribution of the network within the basin has developed from uneven to balanced. Still, only the downstream Lubei and Lunan districts are located in the core power area, and the driving effect on the marginal power districts and counties is limited.

     

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