河北省乡村韧性的空间分异特征及分区分类优化策略

Spatial Differentiation Characteristics and Zoning Classification Optimization Strategies of Rural Resilience in Hebei Province

  • 摘要: 在京津冀协同发展的背景下,河北省乡村受到城乡发展不平衡、极端气候事件频发及社会变革等多重影响,使其内外环境变得更加复杂和不确定,亟需加强乡村的抵御力和适应性。本文从生态韧性、经济韧性、社会韧性和工程韧性4个维度构建评价指标体系,基于2021年河北省11个地级市的乡村发展数据,运用熵值法和专家打分法测算乡村韧性水平,借助ArcGIS揭示其空间分异特征,并通过障碍度模型诊断了制约乡村韧性发展的障碍因素。结果显示:河北省的乡村韧性水平整体较低,空间差异显著,生态韧性和经济韧性是制约乡村韧性发展的两个主要障碍因素。最后通过韧性水平分区和障碍主导分类针对性提出乡村韧性建设的优化策略,旨在提升河北省乡村整体韧性水平并提供差异化政策参考。

     

    Abstract: Under the background of the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, the rural areas in Hebei Province are affected by the imbalance of urban and rural development, the frequent occurrence of extreme climate events and social changes, which make the internal and external environment more complex and uncertain. It is urgent to strengthen the resilience and adaptability of these rural areas. This paper constructs an evaluation index system from the four dimensions of ecological resilience, economic resilience, social resilience and engineering resilience. Based on the rural development data in 2021 of 11 prefecture-level cities in Hebei Province, the entropy method and expert scoring method are used to measure the level of rural resilience. ArcGIS is used to reveal the spatial differentiation characteristics, and the obstacle factors restricting the development of rural resilience are diagnosed by the obstacle degree model. The results show that the overall level of rural resilience in Hebei Province is low, and the spatial difference is significant. Ecological resilience and economic resilience are the two main obstacles restricting the development of rural resilience. Finally, we put forward the optimization strategies of rural resilience construction through the division of resilience level and the classification of obstacle dominance, aiming at improving the overall resilience level of rural areas in Hebei Province and providing differentiated policy reference.

     

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