青岛小城镇镇域人口收缩特征、机制及应对策略

Characteristics, Mechanisms, and Coping Strategies of Population Contraction in the Town Areas of Small Towns in Qingdao

  • 摘要: 随着我国进入城镇化中后期,城镇化的主旋律由粗放式增量扩张逐渐变为结构性存量优化,主要表现为人口从中小城市向城市群、都市圈核心城市集聚。根据六普和七普数据分析,2010—2020年山东省青岛市小城镇镇域人口整体呈现出较强的收缩趋势,主要原因包括县域时空格局变化、城镇建设差距、制度设计、城镇化规律、乡镇撤并和土地等要素供给减少等。本文基于人口收缩情况对青岛市小城镇提出分类引导发展策略,包括:承担区域农业安全保障职能,并争做细分领域行业龙头;加强生态修复,着重提升城镇品质,打造宜居小镇;挖掘存量用地潜力,借助重大项目实现土地集约利用和人口集聚的正向循环;通过设立功能区、利用智能化和数字化技术升级产业体系,促进城镇功能完善和经济发展;适应人口收缩小城镇的城乡二元性和生产主导性,增加用地结构弹性,打造城乡一体化公共服务体系;推动被撤并乡镇的低效用地再开发,积极开展镇域国土综合整治。

     

    Abstract: As China has entered the middle and late stages of urbanization, the primary focus of urbanization has gradually transitioned from extensive incremental expansion to structural stock optimization. This trend is predominantly reflected in the population shift from small and medium-sized cities to the core cities within urban agglomerations and metropolitan areas. Based on an analysis of data from the Sixth and Seventh National Population Censuses, the population in the administrative areas of small towns in Qingdao, Shandong Province demonstrated a significant contracting tendency overall from 2010 to 2020. The main factors contributing to this population contraction in the administrative areas of Qingdao's small towns encompass changes in the spatialtemporal patterns of county regions, disparities in urban construction, institutional designs, the inherent laws of urbanization, the merger and consolidation of townships, and a decrease in the supply of land and other critical resources. This paper proposes categorized guidance and development strategies for small towns in Qingdao in response to the population contraction situation. These strategies include assuming the responsibility of safeguarding regional agricultural security and aspiring to become industry leaders in niche markets; enhancing ecological restoration efforts, prioritizing the improvement of town quality, and fostering the development of livable small towns; harnessing the potential of existing land resources to achieve a virtuous cycle of intensive land use and population concentration through major projects; advancing the improvement of urban functions and economic growth by establishing functional zones and upgrading the industrial system through intelligent and digital technologies; adapting to the urban-rural duality and production-oriented characteristics of small towns experiencing population contraction, increasing the flexibility of land-use structures, and establishing an integrated urban-rural public service system; and promoting the redevelopment of underutilized land in merged and consolidated townships and actively implementing comprehensive land consolidation projects within town administrative areas.

     

/

返回文章
返回