我国乡村老年友好型社区空间分布及影响因素研究

Research on the Spatial Distribution and Influencing Factors of Rural Elderly-friendly Communities in China

  • 摘要: 老年友好社区是养老服务体系规划的重要内容。文章以全国老年友好型社区为研究对象,在提取乡村地域社区的基础上,利用核密度法、标准差椭圆、空间自相关、地理探测器、地理加权回归方法,分析我国乡村地区老年友好型社区的空间分布特征及其影响因素。结果表明:我国乡村地区老年友好型社区空间分布集中在东南半壁,形成成渝、长三角和京津3个集聚中心,社区分布由集聚中心地区向周边逐渐递减的格局。乡村老年友好型社区呈现显著的空间集聚特征,“高—高”和“低—低”聚类区域分别位于长三角、成渝地区与西北、东北地区。区域自然地理环境、经济发展水平、社会人文环境、交通可达性对老年友好型社区空间分布均有显著影响。研究为乡村老年友好社区规划提供了对策建议。

     

    Abstract: Elderly-friendly communities are a critical component of elderly care service system planning. This study uses national elderly-friendly communities as its research focus, with an emphasis on rural areas. By employing methods such as kernel density estimation, standard deviational ellipse, spatial autocorrelation, geographic detector analysis, and geographically weighted regression, it examines the spatial distribution patterns and influencing factors of rural elderly-friendly communities in China. The findings reveal three key insights: Spatial distribution is concentrated in southeastern China, forming three primary clusters: Chengdu-Chongqing, Yangtze River Delta, and Beijing-Tianjin. The density of these communities gradually decreases from cluster cores to surrounding regions. Rural elderly-friendly communities exhibit significant spatial clustering, with 'High-High' clusters (positive spatial association) concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta and Chengdu-Chongqing regions, and 'Low-Low' clusters (negative spatial association) predominantly in northwest and northeast China. Four categories of factors significantly shape spatial distribution: regional natural geography, economic development level, socio-cultural environment, and transportation accessibility. This research offers actionable recommendations for optimizing the planning and development of rural elderly-friendly communities.

     

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