城中村消防安全优化决策机制研究——以北京市四个典型城中村为例

Research on the Decision-making Mechanism for Fire Safety Optimization in Urban Villages: A Case Study of Four Typical Urban Villages in Beijing

  • 摘要: 城中村因其高密度、混合无序的空间形态与复杂的社会结构,成为超大特大城市公共安全体系的薄弱环节。本研究以北京市丰台、昌平、朝阳三区的4个典型城中村为实证对象,构建“感知—空间—管理”协同分析框架。通过问卷调查与探索性因子分析,提取出影响居民消防安全满意度的4个因子,建成环境形态、消防安全感知、消防安全管理与物理舒适度。同时,运用空间句法对村落路网进行拓扑建模,量化分析其整合度、可理解度、控制值与深度值等形态指标。研究发现,空间形态与居民安全感知存在显著关联与错位,高整合度区域可能因日常管理失效如占道而呈现低满意度;低整合度、高深度值区域如费家村通过先进的技防及人防系统实现高满意度。基于此,本研究根据村庄类型制定差异化改造策略,旨在实现空间布局优化、组织流程再造与管理机制创新的有机融合,为超大特大城市城中村的精细化、差异化消防安全治理提供决策支持与实施路径。

     

    Abstract: Due to their high-density, mixed and disordered spatial morphology and complex social structure, urban villages have become vulnerable links in the public safety systems of megacities. This study takes four typical urban villages in Fengtai, Changping and Chaoyang Districts of Beijing as empirical cases and constructs a ‘perception-space-management' collaborative analytical framework. Through questionnaire surveys and exploratory factor analysis, four factors influencing residents' fire safety satisfaction are identified: built environment morphology, fire safety perception, fire safety management and physical comfort. Meanwhile, space syntax is adopted to conduct topological modeling of village road networks, quantitatively analyzing morphological indicators such as integration, intelligibility, control value and depth value. The study finds that there is a significant correlation and discrepancy between spatial morphology and residents' safety perception: areas with high integration may show low satisfaction due to ineffective daily management (e.g., road occupation); areas with low integration and high depth value (e.g., Feijia Village) achieve high satisfaction through advanced technical and human-based prevention systems. Based on this, differentiated renovation strategies are formulated according to village types, aiming to realize the organic integration of spatial layout optimization, organizational process reengineering and management mechanism innovation, and provide decision-making support and implementation paths for refined and differentiated fire safety governance of urban villages in megacities.

     

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